Skip to main content
DebateForge Lab

Research Sources

Every source cited on the site: what it found, how, the limits of its method, when it was last checked, and which motions and arguments use it.

74 sources · 62 full text checked · 2 official summary checked · 9 abstract checked · 1 secondary report checked

“Full text checked” means the original page or publication was read and the cited finding checked against it. Sources checked only against an abstract, an official summary or a secondary report are labelled as such wherever they are cited.

74 of 74 sources

    1. Tournament recordVerification: Full text checkedtab-oxford-schools-china-2024

      Oxford Schools China 2024 Nationals: motions

      Oxford Schools China (Tabbycat) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Lists the Round 1 (televised court trials), Round 2 (glorification of e-sports players), Round 5 (trend towards authenticity on social media) and Round 6 (recent graduate rejecting in-person employment) motions.
      Methodology
      Official motion list published on the tournament's Tabbycat (calicotab) site.
      Methodological limitations
      Confirms the original BP wording and round only. The PF-style wording used on this site is an editorial rendering, not the tournament's text.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    1. Tournament recordVerification: Full text checkedtab-aodc-bp-2024

      AODC BP 2024: motions

      AODC BP 2024 (Tabbycat) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Lists the Round 1 (“successful tuition fee” model), Round 2 (five homegrown starters) and Grand Final (rise of “Hermit Cutlure” [sic]) motions.
      Methodology
      Official motion list published on the tournament's Tabbycat (calicotab) site.
      Methodological limitations
      Confirms the original BP wording and round only. The PF-style wording used on this site is an editorial rendering, not the tournament's text.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    1. Tournament recordVerification: Full text checkedtab-ssdi-bp-2025

      SSDI BP 2025: motions

      SSDI BP 2025 (Tabbycat) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Lists the Round 1 (subsidies for global virtual schools), Round 5 (redevelopment must guarantee return of displaced residents) and Grand Final (environmental movement and corporate partnerships) motions.
      Methodology
      Official motion list published on the tournament's Tabbycat (calicotab) site.
      Methodological limitations
      Confirms the original BP wording and round only. The PF-style wording used on this site is an editorial rendering, not the tournament's text.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    1. Tournament recordVerification: Full text checkedtab-dlc-bp-2026

      2026 DLC BP Open: motions

      2026 NHSDLC BP Open (Tabbycat) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Lists the Round 3 (“influencerisation” of sports media), Round 5 (abolish zoning laws in the U.S.) and School Semifinals (parents helping an average child become an influencer) motions.
      Methodology
      Official motion list published on the tournament's Tabbycat (calicotab) site.
      Methodological limitations
      Confirms the original BP wording and round only. The PF-style wording used on this site is an editorial rendering, not the tournament's text.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    1. Tournament recordVerification: Full text checkedtab-bido-2026

      BIDO 2026: motions

      BIDO 2026 (Tabbycat) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Lists the Round 1 (grade caps), Round 3 (consolidation of the luxury industry), Round 4 (soundness over significance in peer review) and Novice Finals (mandate prenups) motions.
      Methodology
      Official motion list published on the tournament's Tabbycat (calicotab) site.
      Methodological limitations
      Confirms the original BP wording and round only. The PF-style wording used on this site is an editorial rendering, not the tournament's text.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    1. Tournament recordVerification: Full text checkedtab-shumen-2026

      Shumen Online Open 2026: motions

      Shumen Online Open 2026 (Tabbycat) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Lists the Round 5 motion regretting the rise of management consultancy.
      Methodology
      Official motion list published on the tournament's Tabbycat (calicotab) site.
      Methodological limitations
      Confirms the original BP wording and round only. The PF-style wording used on this site is an editorial rendering, not the tournament's text.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Management Consulting
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedpinch-2024-bereal

      “Is it time for me to be authentic?”: Understanding, performing, and evaluating authenticity on BeReal

      Annika Pinch, Floor Fiers, Jeremy Birnholtz, Justine Fisher, Brigid Reilly (New Media & Society) · 2024-08-14

      Key finding
      BeReal (launched 2020) prompts users to post unfiltered front- and back-camera photos at a set time. Interviewed users resisted the prompts and used strategies to regain control over self-presentation, while also accepting the app's ideal of effortless “realness” and judging others as fake when they ignored the prompts.
      Methodology
      Qualitative interviews with 25 BeReal users.
      Methodological limitations
      Small, self-selected interview sample; describes how users interpret authenticity, not how common these behaviours are or their effects on wellbeing. Checked against the published abstract (Crossref metadata); full text is paywalled.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Social Media Authenticity (Realistic content reduces harmful upward comparison; Authenticity becomes a new performance standard)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedbailey-2020-authentic-expression

      Authentic self-expression on social media is associated with greater subjective well-being

      Erica R. Bailey, Sandra C. Matz, Wu Youyou, Sheena S. Iyengar (Nature Communications 11, 4889) · 2020-10-06

      Key finding
      Study 1: among 10,560 Facebook users, closer agreement between self-rated personality and personality predicted from Likes or status updates was associated with higher life satisfaction (small effects; largest standardized β ≈ 0.11). Study 2: in a two-week within-subject experiment with 90 students, the week of authentic posting produced higher mood and positive affect than the week of self-idealised posting, but no significant change in life satisfaction.
      Methodology
      Study 1: correlational regressions on myPersonality app data. Study 2: pre-registered within-subject experiment (target 200, achieved 90 because of COVID-19 lab closure), randomised order of authentic and idealised posting weeks.
      Methodological limitations
      Study 1 is correlational; personality predictions from digital traces are imperfect (r ≈ 0.56 for Likes, 0.41 for language). Study 2 is small, some results are marginal, and it used a different mood scale from the one pre-registered. Neither study compares authentic posting with not using social media.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Social Media Authenticity (Realistic content reduces harmful upward comparison; Expressing your actual self is better for the person posting; Authenticity norms erode privacy and selective self-presentation) · Math × Debate: Correlation vs. Causation
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedtiggemann-2020-instagram-vs-reality

      Social media is not real: The effect of ‘Instagram vs reality’ images on women's social comparison and body image

      Marika Tiggemann, Isabella Anderberg (New Media & Society 22(12), 2183–2199) · 2019-11-16

      Key finding
      305 women aged 18–30 were randomly assigned to view paired “Instagram vs reality” images, only idealised images, or only realistic images. Both the paired and the realistic sets reduced body dissatisfaction relative to the idealised set, and appearance comparison was less harmful in those conditions.
      Methodology
      Randomised between-subjects online experiment, single exposure.
      Methodological limitations
      Immediate effects after one viewing session; women aged 18–30 only; long-term effects untested, as the authors note. Checked against the published abstract (Crossref metadata).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Social Media Authenticity (Realistic content reduces harmful upward comparison; Authenticity becomes a new performance standard) · Math × Debate: Correlation vs. Causation
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedabidin-2017-calibrated-amateurism

      #familygoals: Family Influencers, Calibrated Amateurism, and Justifying Young Digital Labor

      Crystal Abidin (Social Media + Society 3(2)) · 2017-06-05

      Key finding
      Family influencers craft an appearance of unpolished everyday life, which the author calls “calibrated amateurism”: a deliberate performance of authenticity that sustains follower engagement. Most follower comments express support or envy; some raise concerns about the children's wellbeing. Parents justify the digital labour their children perform.
      Methodology
      Ethnographically informed content analysis of two groups of family influencers.
      Methodological limitations
      Two case groups; interpretive method that identifies practices rather than measuring their prevalence or effects. Checked against the published abstract (Crossref metadata).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Social Media Authenticity (Authenticity becomes a new performance standard; Authenticity is commodified, making persuasion more effective) · Child Influencers (Guided participation is better than unguided exposure; Permanent exposure without the child's consent; Turning childhood into content distorts the parent–child relationship)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedmarwick-boyd-2011-context-collapse

      I tweet honestly, I tweet passionately: Twitter users, context collapse, and the imagined audience

      Alice E. Marwick, danah boyd (New Media & Society 13(1), 114–133) · 2010-07-07

      Key finding
      Social media collapses multiple audiences into one context, making self-presentation harder to manage. Users imagine audiences and use techniques such as targeting, concealing subjects and maintaining a sense of authenticity; some practices resemble micro-celebrity and personal branding.
      Methodology
      Interviews and survey responses from Twitter users with different kinds of followings.
      Methodological limitations
      Early Twitter (circa 2009); qualitative. Supports the concept of context collapse, not estimates of harm. Checked against the published abstract (Crossref metadata).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Social Media Authenticity (Authenticity norms erode privacy and selective self-presentation)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkednorway-retouch-label-guideline

      The Norwegian Consumer Authority's Guideline on Labelling Retouched Advertising

      Forbrukertilsynet (Norwegian Consumer Authority) · 2022-11-10

      Key finding
      Under section 2, second paragraph, of the Marketing Control Act, advertising in which body shape, size or skin has been altered by retouching or other manipulation must carry a standardised label from 1 July 2022. Influencers and similar creators are covered when they receive payment or other benefits for promoting a trader's goods or services.
      Methodology
      Official regulatory guidance (updated 25 January 2023).
      Methodological limitations
      Describes the legal duty, not its effects. No evaluation of whether labels change viewers' body image or trust was found during this review.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Social Media Authenticity (Authenticity norms are making commercial persuasion more honest; Authenticity is commodified, making persuasion more effective)
    1. Research instituteVerification: Official summary checkedusc-2025-athlete-owned-media

      Owning the Narrative: first-of-its-kind study reveals rise of athlete-owned media

      USC Annenberg Norman Lear Center (co-PI Dean Willow Bay) · 2025-10-09

      Key finding
      Identified 33 athlete-owned production companies producing more than 370 media properties; athlete-owned podcasts have more than 7 billion YouTube views. New Heights secured a $100 million deal with Amazon's Wondery and The Pat McAfee Show was licensed to ESPN for $85 million. Only 22% of the top athlete-owned podcasts featured any women as hosts or guests; content often covers family, identity and mental health.
      Methodology
      Historical review, analysis of 370+ athlete-owned media properties, content analysis of the 45 most-watched athlete-owned video podcasts, and interviews with academics, journalists, executives and athlete-creators.
      Methodological limitations
      Descriptive; sample period not stated on the summary page; no data on effects on journalism or audience trust. Checked against the university's summary.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Influencer-Driven Sports Media (Athlete-controlled media replaces scrutiny with self-promotion; Popularity is not credibility; Revenue drains from newsrooms, and voices narrow; Athletes get to tell their own stories; New media reaches audiences legacy outlets lost)
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedpew-2024-news-influencers

      America's News Influencers

      Pew Research Center · 2024-11-18

      Key finding
      21% of U.S. adults (37% of those aged 18–29) regularly get news from news influencers on social media. 77% of news influencers have no affiliation with or background in a news organisation.
      Methodology
      Survey of 10,658 U.S. adults (July–August 2024) plus analysis of 500 sampled news influencers and 104,786 of their posts.
      Methodological limitations
      Covers news influencers in general, not sports: for 58% of them, politics, government or the election was the most common post topic, and the report gives no sports-specific figures. U.S. only. Use for sports media only as indirect evidence.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Influencer-Driven Sports Media (Popularity is not credibility; New media reaches audiences legacy outlets lost)
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedcbs-2024-sports-illustrated-layoffs

      Sports Illustrated lays off most or all of its workers, union says

      Kate Gibson, CBS News (MoneyWatch) · 2024-01-19

      Key finding
      The Arena Group planned to lay off a significant number of union-represented Sports Illustrated staff, possibly all of them, after Authentic Brands Group terminated Arena's publishing licence over a missed quarterly fee; Arena announced over 100 job cuts company-wide citing substantial debt.
      Methodology
      News reporting citing the union, company statements and other outlets.
      Methodological limitations
      Reports one outlet's crisis, driven by licensing and debt; does not show that influencers caused it.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Influencer-Driven Sports Media (Revenue drains from newsrooms, and voices narrow; Legacy sports media was never fully independent)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedca-sb764-padilla-2024

      California Governor Signs Senator Padilla Bill Updating Financial Protections for Youth Content Creators

      Office of California State Senator Steve Padilla · 2024-09-26

      Key finding
      SB 764, the Child Content Creator Rights Act, signed on 26 September 2024 and in force from 1 January 2025, covers creators who feature minors in at least 30% of their content and requires them to set aside 65% of a proportionate share of gross earnings in a trust the minor can access at adulthood.
      Methodology
      Official legislative press release.
      Methodological limitations
      Summary by the bill's author, not the statute text; does not describe enforcement or record-keeping details.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Child Influencers (The law now protects the child's earnings; For an average child, the likely payoff is small and the protections are narrow)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedca-governor-2024-child-influencers

      Governor Newsom joins Demi Lovato to sign legislation to protect the financial security of child influencers

      Office of the Governor of California · 2024-09-26

      Key finding
      The Governor signed SB 764 and AB 1880. AB 1880 extends the Coogan Law, which already requires employers to place at least 15% of a child performer's gross earnings in trust, to minors employed as online content creators.
      Methodology
      Official press release.
      Methodological limitations
      Announcement; does not evaluate compliance or effects.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Child Influencers (The law now protects the child's earnings; Parents, not the state or critics, should make this choice; For an average child, the likely payoff is small and the protections are narrow)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedchildrens-commissioner-2018-data

      Who knows what about me? A Children's Commissioner report into the collection and sharing of children's data (infographic)

      Children's Commissioner for England · 2018-11

      Key finding
      States that by age 13, parents have posted 1,300 photos and videos of their child to social media, and that children themselves post 26 times a day on social media, nearly 70,000 posts by age 18. Warns that the long-term consequences of this data are unknown.
      Methodology
      Report by an independent statutory children's rights body; the infographic does not describe how the figures were estimated.
      Methodological limitations
      Underlying data sources and methods for the 1,300 figure are not given in the infographic; figures are averages for UK children, not child influencers.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Child Influencers (Guided participation is better than unguided exposure; Permanent exposure without the child's consent)
    1. International organisationVerification: Full text checkedwho-gaming-disorder-qa

      Addictive behaviours: Gaming disorder (Questions and answers)

      World Health Organization · date not recorded

      Key finding
      WHO's ICD-11 (released mid-2018) defines gaming disorder as impaired control over gaming, increasing priority given to gaming over other activities, and continuation despite negative consequences, causing significant impairment and normally evident for at least 12 months. Studies suggest it affects only a small proportion of people who play video games.
      Methodology
      WHO explanatory guidance on the ICD-11 diagnosis.
      Methodological limitations
      Clinical definition; does not concern esports fandom or celebrity culture specifically.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Esports Celebrity Culture (Glorification normalises excessive gaming; Most gamers are not harmed, and stigma is the bigger problem)
    1. DatasetVerification: Full text checkedesports-earnings-top-players

      Top Players by Overall Earnings

      Esports Earnings (esportsearnings.com) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      The highest-earning esports players by recorded tournament prize money are Dota 2 players with roughly $5.3–7.2 million each (e.g. N0tail ≈ $7.18 million, KuroKy ≈ $5.30 million in tenth place).
      Methodology
      Crowd-sourced database of tournament prize money compiled from published information.
      Methodological limitations
      Prize money only (excludes salaries, streaming and sponsorship income); covers recorded tournaments; values change over time. Figures read on 2026-10-31.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Esports Celebrity Culture (Celebrity success misrepresents an extremely risky career; Esports stars model discipline, teamwork and strategy) · Math × Debate: Selection Bias · Math × Debate: Base Rate Fallacy · Math × Debate: Probability Distributions
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedreuters-2024-olympic-esports

      Saudi Arabia to host inaugural Olympics Esports Games in 2025

      Reuters (published by ESPN) · 2024-07-12

      Key finding
      The IOC announced that Saudi Arabia would host the first Olympic Esports Games in 2025 under a 12-year partnership with the Saudi National Olympic Committee, subject to ratification at the IOC Session before the Paris Olympics. Critics accused Saudi Arabia of sportswashing, which it denies.
      Methodology
      Wire news report.
      Methodological limitations
      Reports an announcement pending ratification; later developments were not checked.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Esports Celebrity Culture (Glorification serves commercial and political interests; Recognition legitimises and professionalises the industry)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkednguyen-2018-solitude

      Solitude as an Approach to Affective Self-Regulation

      Thuy-vy T. Nguyen, Richard M. Ryan, Edward L. Deci (Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 44(1), 92–106) · 2017-10-26

      Key finding
      Being alone generally reduced both positive and negative high-arousal emotions, an effect not seen when people were with another person. When people actively chose to be alone, solitude was associated with relaxation and reduced stress.
      Methodology
      Series of experiments comparing short periods alone with periods in company.
      Methodological limitations
      Short laboratory sessions; mostly student samples; effects on long-term wellbeing not tested. Checked against the abstract (Crossref).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Voluntary Solitude (Chosen solitude restores and regulates emotion)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedholt-lunstad-2015-isolation

      Loneliness and Social Isolation as Risk Factors for Mortality: A Meta-Analytic Review

      Julianne Holt-Lunstad, Timothy B. Smith, Mark Baker, Tyler Harris, David Stephenson (Perspectives on Psychological Science 10(2), 227–237) · 2015-03-11

      Key finding
      Across studies controlling for confounds, social isolation, loneliness and living alone were associated with 29%, 26% and 32% increased likelihood of mortality respectively; objective and subjective isolation had similar effects, and effects were stronger in samples under 65.
      Methodology
      Meta-analysis of prospective studies on mortality.
      Methodological limitations
      Observational studies; associations, not proof of causation; does not distinguish chosen solitude from unwanted isolation. Checked against the abstract (Crossref).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Voluntary Solitude (Time alone is not the same as loneliness; Isolation carries serious health risks) · Math × Debate: Absolute vs. Relative Risk
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedafp-2023-japan-hikikomori

      Japan govt survey finds 1.5 million living as recluses

      AFP (published by Free Malaysia Today) · 2023-04-05

      Key finding
      A Japanese Cabinet Office survey estimated 1.46 million people aged 15–64 (around 2%) had withdrawn from society to some extent; the most common reason was quitting a job, with bullying and depression also cited, and about a fifth cited the pandemic. There is no directly comparable past data.
      Methodology
      Wire report of a government household survey.
      Methodological limitations
      Secondhand reporting; the survey measures social withdrawal (hikikomori), which is not the same as voluntary solitude; no trend comparison possible.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Voluntary Solitude (Time alone is not the same as loneliness; Celebrating solitude hides involuntary withdrawal)
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedowid-time-use

      Time Use

      Esteban Ortiz-Ospina, Bastian Herre, Tuna Acisu, Charlie Giattino, Max Roser (Our World in Data) · 2020-11-29

      Key finding
      U.S. time-use data show time spent alone rises with age (especially after 40) and that older people today spend more time alone than in the past. But spending time alone is not the same as feeling lonely: solitude by itself is not a good predictor of loneliness.
      Methodology
      Analysis of American Time Use Survey data and loneliness studies.
      Methodological limitations
      Cross-sectional data pooled over years; age patterns may reflect cohort differences.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Voluntary Solitude (Respecting different social needs is a gain in autonomy; Time alone is not the same as loneliness; Isolation carries serious health risks; Communities depend on participation)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedosc-2015-reproducibility

      Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science

      Open Science Collaboration (Science 349(6251), aac4716) · 2015-08-28

      Key finding
      Replications of 100 experiments published in 2008 in three high-ranking psychology journals reproduced roughly one-third to one-half of the original findings, depending on the criterion used.
      Methodology
      Coordinated direct replications, with several criteria for comparing each replication with its original.
      Methodological limitations
      One discipline and three journals; replications can fail for reasons other than a false original (differences in samples, procedures or power). Checked against the abstract (Crossref).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Scientific Reproducibility (Rewarding novelty fills journals with results that do not hold up; Replication failure is not mainly an editorial problem) · Math × Debate: Bayes' Theorem · Math × Debate: Confidence Intervals · Math × Debate: Regression to the Mean
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedscheel-2021-registered-reports

      An Excess of Positive Results: Comparing the Standard Psychology Literature With Registered Reports

      Anne M. Scheel, Mitchell R. M. J. Schijen, Daniël Lakens (Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science 4(2)) · 2021-04-16

      Key finding
      96% of 152 randomly sampled standard hypothesis-testing psychology articles reported a positive result for their first hypothesis, versus 44% of 71 Registered Reports, in which peer review and the publication decision happen before results are known.
      Methodology
      Comparison of published Registered Reports (to November 2018) with a random sample of standard articles, coding the first hypothesis of each.
      Methodological limitations
      Registered Reports may test different kinds of hypotheses (e.g. more replications), so the gap is not entirely due to publication bias, as the authors acknowledge. Checked against the abstract (Crossref).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Scientific Reproducibility (Rewarding novelty fills journals with results that do not hold up; Judging methods before results removes the incentive to manufacture positives) · Math × Debate: Bayes' Theorem · Math × Debate: Regression to the Mean
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedwang-2017-novelty-bias

      Bias against novelty in science: A cautionary tale for users of bibliometric indicators

      Jian Wang, Reinhilde Veugelers, Paula Stephan (Research Policy 46(8), 1416–1436; NBER Working Paper 22180) · 2017-10

      Key finding
      Among 773,311 Web of Science research articles from 2001, papers combining prior knowledge in unprecedented ways (11% of the sample) were cited less in their first years and less likely to appear in high-impact-factor journals, but were much more likely to become top-1% cited papers in the long run and to inspire important follow-up work.
      Methodology
      Bibliometric analysis; novelty measured as first-time combinations of referenced journals.
      Methodological limitations
      Citations are an imperfect proxy for scientific value; novelty measured from reference-list journal combinations (89% of papers make none, so about 11% are novel). Full NBER working paper checked.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Scientific Reproducibility (Editors are poor judges of impact anyway; A soundness-first rule further disadvantages risky, original work; Readers need curation as well as validity)
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkedplos-one-criteria

      PLOS ONE: Criteria for Publication

      PLOS · date not recorded

      Key finding
      PLOS ONE evaluates submissions on technical and ethical soundness: rigorous experiments with appropriate controls, conclusions supported by the data, adequate reporting and data availability. It aims to publish all valid research, including negative and null results, and its criteria do not include perceived importance or novelty.
      Methodology
      Journal editorial policy page.
      Methodological limitations
      Describes stated criteria, not how consistently reviewers apply them or the journal's influence.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Scientific Reproducibility (Editors are poor judges of impact anyway; Readers need curation as well as validity)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedcfpb-2021-bff-isa

      CFPB Takes Action Against Student Lender for Misleading Borrowers About Income Share Agreements

      Consumer Financial Protection Bureau · 2021-09-07

      Key finding
      The CFPB found that Better Future Forward's income share agreements (education funding repaid as a percentage of income until a cap or period is reached) were credit and private education loans, that the company falsely told consumers they were not loans and did not create debt, failed to give required disclosures, and imposed unlawful prepayment penalties.
      Methodology
      Federal consumer-protection consent order (no admission or denial by the company).
      Methodological limitations
      Concerns one provider; legal classification rather than evidence on outcomes for students.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Outcome-Contingent Tuition (Risk-shifting threatens university finances and invites exploitation) · Math × Debate: Expected Value
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkeduk-gov-student-loan-repayment

      Repaying your student loan: what you pay

      UK Government (GOV.UK) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      English student loan borrowers on Plans 1, 2, 4 and 5 repay 9% of their income above a threshold (Plan 2: £29,385 a year; Plan 5: £25,000 a year); those earning below the threshold repay nothing.
      Methodology
      Official government guidance.
      Methodological limitations
      Thresholds change over time (read 2026-10-31); this is a government income-contingent loan, not tuition charged only on meeting outcome benchmarks.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Outcome-Contingent Tuition (It insures students against the risk of a bad outcome; Benchmarks measure earnings, not the value of education; Risk-shifting threatens university finances and invites exploitation)
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkededsurge-2022-purdue-isa

      Purdue University Suspends Income-Share Agreements, Its Loan Alternative

      Nadia Tamez-Robledo, EdSurge · 2022-06-24

      Key finding
      Purdue, the first major public university to offer income-share agreements (2016), suspended its Back a Boiler programme in 2022 after its servicer stopped originating new agreements. Nearly 1,000 students from 150 majors used it; borrowing limits and terms varied by major; students paid a percentage of salary for about 10 years, and paying off early cost 250% of the principal. Purdue still described ISAs as a useful income-dependent alternative to private loans.
      Methodology
      News reporting with university statements.
      Methodological limitations
      One programme; does not report repayment outcomes or the percentage of income charged.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Outcome-Contingent Tuition (Universities become accountable for results; It replaces worse private financing; Universities will admit safe bets and shrink low-paid fields; Risk-shifting threatens university finances and invites exploitation) · Math × Debate: Expected Value
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedcredo-2015-online-charters

      Online Charter School Study 2015

      Center for Research on Education Outcomes (CREDO), Stanford University · 2015-10

      Key finding
      Compared with matched “virtual twins” in traditional public schools, students in U.S. online charter schools had typical annual growth of −0.25 standard deviations in maths (about 180 fewer days of learning on a 180-day year) and −0.10 in reading (about 72 fewer days). In reading, 67% of online charter schools had weaker growth than their comparison schools, 32% were no different and 2% were stronger; in maths, 88% had significantly weaker growth.
      Methodology
      Matched comparison of online charter students with demographically similar students with similar prior achievement in traditional public schools.
      Methodological limitations
      Online charters in 17 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., not virtual schooling in general; matching uses observable characteristics and prior scores, so unmeasured differences (for example the reasons a family switched) cannot be ruled out. Full report checked: growth estimates in Section 4 (Figure 3); school quality shares in Figure 12.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Virtual Schools (Flexibility serves students traditional schools fail; Full-time virtual schools have produced much weaker learning) · Math × Debate: Confounding Variables
    1. International organisationVerification: Full text checkedunesco-2023-gem-technology

      Global Education Monitoring Report 2023: Technology in education – A tool on whose terms? (summary by the Austrian Commission for UNESCO)

      UNESCO Global Education Monitoring Report team · 2023-07-26

      Key finding
      The benefits of learning technology disappear when it is used in excess or without qualified teachers; technology should never replace face-to-face, teacher-led instruction. One in four primary schools has no electricity; at least half a billion students were excluded when schooling moved online during COVID-19; only 16% of countries guarantee data protection in education by law.
      Methodology
      Global review of evidence and country data by UNESCO's GEM Report team.
      Methodological limitations
      Summary page of a long report; global figures mask large differences between countries.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Virtual Schools (Global providers can share high-quality curriculum across borders; The digital divide makes virtual priority regressive; School is more than content delivery)
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedair-2011-online-algebra

      Access to Algebra I: The Effects of Online Mathematics for Grade 8 Students (NCEE 2012-4021, final report)

      Jessica B. Heppen et al., American Institutes for Research and Education Development Center, for the Institute of Education Sciences (REL Northeast and Islands) · 2011-12

      Key finding
      In 68 schools in Maine and Vermont (61 rural) that did not offer a full section of Algebra I in grade 8, schools were randomly assigned to offer an online Algebra I course or their usual curriculum. Algebra-ready students in schools offering the course scored significantly higher on an end-of-year algebra test and were about twice as likely to take an advanced course sequence in high school (predicted probability 0.51 vs 0.26). The course had no negative effects on the measured outcomes of students who were not algebra ready.
      Methodology
      School-level randomised controlled trial (35 treatment, 33 control schools), 2008/09 with follow-up to 2010; analytic samples of 440 algebra-ready and 1,445 other grade-8 students.
      Methodological limitations
      One online course for algebra-ready students, taken in school with a local proctor (usually the grade-8 maths teacher); online teachers and students interacted less than planned; not full-time virtual schooling. Checked against the full report.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Virtual Schools (Virtual provision brings courses to students local schools cannot serve; Global providers can share high-quality curriculum across borders) · Math × Debate: Sample Size and Variability
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedcrimson-2026-harvard-grade-cap

      FAS Passes a Grade Cap

      Abigail S. Gerstein, Amann S. Mahajan (The Harvard Crimson) · 2026-05-20

      Key finding
      Harvard's Faculty of Arts and Sciences voted 458–201 (69.5%) to limit A grades in undergraduate courses to 20% of enrollment, with flexibility for up to four additional A's, from fall 2027. A faculty report had found more than 60% of 2024–25 undergraduate grades were A's. Nearly 85% of respondents to a student government survey disapproved; an amendment letting some courses opt out failed 292–364.
      Methodology
      Student newspaper reporting of a faculty vote and related documents.
      Methodological limitations
      Student press; details of implementation (e.g. how the cap is enforced) were still being decided.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: University Grade Distribution Caps (Grades should reflect achievement, not rank; Better tools exist for grade inflation; Without caps, grades stop carrying information; Caps make grading consistent across courses; Faculty chose caps through legitimate governance) · Math × Debate: Simpson's Paradox · Math × Debate: Probability Distributions
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedplanet-princeton-2014-deflation

      Princeton University to Eliminate ‘Grade Deflation’ Policy

      Planet Princeton · 2014-10-06

      Key finding
      Princeton's faculty voted to end a decade-old policy capping A grades at 35%, which students often read as a quota that made them compete for a limited number of A's. A faculty committee found no measurable negative effect on graduate school, professional school, fellowship or employment prospects, but cited psychological factors and campus atmosphere, noting that “people fixate on numbers”; departments would instead set their own standards.
      Methodology
      Local news report of the faculty vote and committee report.
      Methodological limitations
      Summarises the committee's findings; the underlying data were not reviewed here.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: University Grade Distribution Caps (Grades should reflect achievement, not rank; Caps create competition that harms learning culture; Better tools exist for grade inflation; Caps make grading consistent across courses) · Math × Debate: Probability Distributions
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedpaw-2014-grading-unbound

      Grading, Unbound

      Princeton Alumni Weekly · 2014-11-12

      Key finding
      On 6 October 2014 Princeton's faculty ended its ten-year-old policy of numerical targets for A grades, replacing it with departmental standards. A grades had risen from 30% to 48% between 1974 and 2003. Some faculty opposed the change, warning there was no clear strategy to control grade inflation and disparities between departments.
      Methodology
      University alumni magazine reporting.
      Methodological limitations
      Institutional publication; short report.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: University Grade Distribution Caps (Without caps, grades stop carrying information; Caps make grading consistent across courses) · Math × Debate: Simpson's Paradox
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedbloom-2024-hybrid-rct

      Hybrid working from home improves retention without damaging performance

      Nicholas Bloom, Ruobing Han, James Liang (Nature 630, 920–925) · 2024-06-12

      Key finding
      Randomly allowing two work-from-home days a week cut attrition from 7.2% to 4.8% (about one-third) and raised job satisfaction, with no detectable effect on performance reviews over two years or on promotions. Reductions in quitting were significant for non-managers and women. Interns and probationary new hires were excluded because on-site learning and mentoring are especially important for them.
      Methodology
      Six-month randomised controlled trial (August 2021 – January 2022) with 1,612 graduate employees in engineering, marketing and finance at Trip.com in Shanghai; assignment by odd or even birthday.
      Methodological limitations
      One Chinese technology firm; tests a 3-office/2-home schedule, not fully remote work; excludes new hires; one co-author is Trip.com's co-founder and chairman with equity in the firm; trial registered after it began.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Remote Work and University Graduates (Flexibility has measured value and little measured performance cost; Collective refusal pushes employers to offer flexibility; Flexible work widens who can take graduate jobs; Early-career learning depends on proximity; The right arrangement depends on the person and the job) · Math × Debate: Selection Bias
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedemanuel-2023-proximity

      The Power of Proximity to Coworkers

      Natalia Emanuel, Emma Harrington, Amanda Pallais (NBER Working Paper 31880; Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2026) · 2023-11

      Key finding
      Among software engineers at a Fortune 500 firm, sitting near teammates increased coding feedback by 18.3% and improved code quality. Gains were concentrated among less-tenured and younger engineers, while experienced engineers wrote less code when near teammates. In national data, the authors report a relative rise in unemployment for young college graduates in remotable jobs after the pandemic.
      Methodology
      Difference-in-differences using office closures (2020) and return-to-office mandates (2022–23), comparing co-located with already-distributed teams, 2019–2024.
      Methodological limitations
      One firm and one occupation (software engineering); feedback is measured through code-review comments; the national unemployment pattern is descriptive, not a causal estimate. Full working paper checked (abstract and introduction).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Remote Work and University Graduates (Flexible work widens who can take graduate jobs; Early-career learning depends on proximity; A blanket rule shrinks options when the market is tightening)
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkedamazon-2024-rto-memo

      Message from CEO Andy Jassy: Strengthening our culture and teams

      Amazon (Andy Jassy) · 2024

      Key finding
      Amazon told corporate employees to return to the office five days a week from 2 January 2025, with exceptions only for extenuating circumstances or approved remote-work exceptions, citing collaboration, teaching and learning, and culture.
      Methodology
      Company statement published on Amazon's news site.
      Methodological limitations
      States the employer's reasons; it is not evidence that in-person work produces those benefits. The page does not display its publication date.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Remote Work and University Graduates (A blanket rule shrinks options when the market is tightening)
    1. Official statisticsVerification: Full text checkedfed-shed-2025-employment

      Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2025: Employment and Job Quality

      Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · 2026-05

      Key finding
      In 2025, 39% of U.S. workers worked from home at least some of the time (17% fully remote, 23% hybrid). 23% of workers with at least a bachelor's degree worked entirely from home, versus 10% with a high school degree or less; the share of bachelor's-degree holders doing any remote work fell by 5 percentage points in 2025.
      Methodology
      Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (SHED), a nationally representative annual survey of U.S. adults.
      Methodological limitations
      Self-reported; refers to the week before the survey; does not break out recent graduates or report preferences.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Remote Work and University Graduates (Collective refusal pushes employers to offer flexibility; A blanket rule shrinks options when the market is tightening)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedaksoy-2023-time-savings

      Time Savings When Working from Home

      Cevat Giray Aksoy, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Mathias Dolls, Pablo Zarate (NBER Working Paper 30866; AEA Papers and Proceedings 113) · 2023-01

      Key finding
      Across 27 countries, working from home saved an average of 72 minutes of commuting per day worked at home; workers devoted about 40% of the saved time to their jobs and about 11% to caregiving.
      Methodology
      Global Survey of Working Arrangements, an online survey of full-time workers in 27 countries (2021–2022).
      Methodological limitations
      Self-reported commute times; online survey samples are more educated than the general workforce. Full paper checked: 72 minutes is the simple average of country means; time allocation 40% job, 34% leisure, 11% caregiving.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Remote Work and University Graduates (Flexibility has measured value and little measured performance cost; Flexible work widens who can take graduate jobs)
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkedlvmh-2021-tiffany

      LVMH completes the acquisition of Tiffany & Co. (press release, SEC Form 8-K exhibit)

      LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton / Tiffany & Co. · 2021-01-07

      Key finding
      LVMH completed its acquisition of Tiffany & Co. on 7 January 2021, saying it would deeply transform its Watches & Jewelry division and complement its 75 Maisons. Louis Vuitton executives were appointed Tiffany's CEO and board chairman, Alexandre Arnault became executive vice president for product and communications, and Tiffany's chief artistic director and chief brand officer were to leave.
      Methodology
      Corporate press release filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
      Methodological limitations
      Company's own framing; does not show later effects on Tiffany's design or suppliers.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Luxury Brand Consolidation (Concentration reduces competition and variety; Group management erodes houses' distinct identities; Scale funds brands that would otherwise struggle; Portfolios let houses keep separate identities) · Math × Debate: Multi-objective Optimization
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedwallpaper-2021-chanel-19m

      Chanel gathers its métiers d'art ateliers under one roof

      Amy Serafin (Wallpaper*) · 2021-10

      Key finding
      Chanel's subsidiary Paraffection holds 38 métiers d'art workshops (some 5,000 jobs), bought from 1985 onwards as many such workshops disappeared through industrialisation and lack of heirs. Eleven ateliers (e.g. Lesage embroidery, Lemarié feathers, Massaro shoes) moved into le19M, a 25,000 m² building in Aubervilliers housing 600 people. Chanel encourages the ateliers to work for other brands, and each pays rent and is expected to be profitable.
      Methodology
      Magazine feature with interviews with Chanel executives.
      Methodological limitations
      Based on company access and statements; no independent data on suppliers' finances.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Luxury Brand Consolidation (Suppliers become dependent on a single owner; Integration has preserved endangered crafts) · Math × Debate: Multi-objective Optimization
    1. Research instituteVerification: Official summary checkeddeloitte-2020-luxury-powers

      Global Powers of Luxury Goods 2020 (Deloitte press release)

      Deloitte · 2020-11-25

      Key finding
      The Top 100 luxury goods companies generated US$281 billion in revenues in fiscal year 2019, and for the first time in seven editions the top 10 companies accounted for more than half of the Top 100's luxury goods sales.
      Methodology
      Deloitte's annual ranking of the 100 largest luxury goods companies by luxury goods sales.
      Methodological limitations
      Checked against Deloitte's own press release, not the full report; company-level figures (for example LVMH's sales) appear only in news coverage and are not used. Concentration among the top 100 is not the same as market concentration in particular product markets.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Luxury Brand Consolidation (Concentration reduces competition and variety)
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedbloom-2013-management-india

      Does Management Matter? Evidence from India

      Nicholas Bloom, Benn Eifert, Aprajit Mahajan, David McKenzie, John Roberts (NBER Working Paper 16658; Quarterly Journal of Economics 128(1), 2013) · 2011-01

      Key finding
      In a randomised field experiment, large Indian textile plants given free consulting on modern management practices raised average productivity by 11% through better quality and efficiency and lower inventory. Firms had not adopted the practices mainly because of informational barriers, and limited competition let poorly managed firms survive.
      Methodology
      Randomised controlled trial assigning management consulting to treatment plants; comparison with control plants.
      Methodological limitations
      Small sample (28 plants operated by 17 firms) in one industry and country; consulting was free and intensive, unlike most commercial engagements. Full working paper checked (abstract and introduction).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Management Consulting (Good management advice measurably raises productivity; Specialist expertise is valuable for complex tasks) · Math × Debate: Confounding Variables
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedalaska-ag-2021-mckinsey

      Attorney General Announces $573 Million Settlement with McKinsey & Company

      Alaska Department of Law (multistate settlement) · 2021-02-04

      Key finding
      Attorneys general from 47 states, the District of Columbia and five territories reached a $573 million settlement with McKinsey resolving investigations into its role advising opioid companies, including advising Purdue on how to maximise profits from its opioid products, targeting high-volume prescribers and circumventing pharmacy restrictions. McKinsey agreed to publish tens of thousands of internal documents, adopt an ethics code and stop advising on Schedule II and III narcotics.
      Methodology
      Official state attorney general press release.
      Methodological limitations
      Describes allegations in a complaint resolved by settlement; does not establish the effect of the advice on opioid harms.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Management Consulting (Consultants optimise what clients want, even when it harms the public; Scandals are met with accountability, not proof of net harm)
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedcanberra-times-2023-pwc

      ‘A calculated breach of trust’: Senate report admonishes PwC over tax scandal

      Sarah Basford Canales, Miriam Webber (The Canberra Times) · 2023-06-21

      Key finding
      An Australian Senate committee interim report called PwC's conduct a “calculated breach of trust”: a former partner who took part in a confidential Treasury consultation on multinational tax avoidance shared the information within the firm, where emails show at least 63 people received it; the Tax Practitioners Board banned him for two years and Treasury referred the matter to the Federal Police.
      Methodology
      News report on a parliamentary committee interim report and related regulatory actions.
      Methodological limitations
      One firm and one scandal (2023); later outcomes not checked.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Management Consulting (Working for government and private clients creates conflicts of interest; Reliance on consultants hollows out in-house capability; Scandals are met with accountability, not proof of net harm)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedgao-2003-hope-vi

      Public Housing: HOPE VI Resident Issues and Changes in Neighborhoods Surrounding Grant Sites (GAO-04-109, Highlights)

      U.S. General Accounting Office · 2003-11

      Key finding
      Congress created HOPE VI in 1992 to redevelop severely distressed public housing; HUD awarded about $4.5 billion for 165 grants in FY1993–2001. Of roughly 49,000 residents relocated by June 2003, the largest share moved to other public housing. Grantees overall expected 46% of relocated residents to return, but expected and actual reoccupancy varied greatly by site. Neighbourhoods around 1996 sites generally improved on education, income and housing indicators, though GAO could not determine how much HOPE VI contributed.
      Methodology
      Analysis of HUD's HOPE VI reporting system (as of 30 June 2003), site visits, and comparison of four HOPE VI neighbourhoods with four comparable neighbourhoods.
      Methodological limitations
      Early data (many sites incomplete); reoccupancy figures partly planned rather than actual; neighbourhood comparison cannot attribute causation, as GAO notes.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Redevelopment and Right to Return (Without a guarantee, redevelopment benefits others at residents' expense; A blanket condition blocks beneficial projects; Return is not always best for residents: mobility can open opportunity) · Math × Debate: Multi-objective Optimization
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedgla-2018-estate-regeneration

      Better Homes for Local People: The Mayor's Good Practice Guide to Estate Regeneration

      Greater London Authority · 2018-02

      Key finding
      Estate regeneration schemes in London involving demolition should provide an increase in affordable housing, full rights to return or remain for social tenants, and a fair deal for leaseholders and freeholders. Displaced social tenants should have a full right to a suitably sized home on the regenerated estate at the same or a similar level of rent; schemes should be phased so households move no more than once. The Mayor proposed resident ballots as a condition of his funding for schemes involving demolition.
      Methodology
      Policy guidance following public consultation.
      Methodological limitations
      Guidance, not statute; applies its strongest conditions to schemes the Mayor funds. Describes intended protections, not outcomes.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Redevelopment and Right to Return (Without a guarantee, redevelopment benefits others at residents' expense; A guarantee builds the trust that makes redevelopment possible; Better tools exist than a universal precondition) · Math × Debate: Multi-objective Optimization
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedchetty-2016-mto

      The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment

      Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Lawrence F. Katz (American Economic Review 106(4); NBER Working Paper 21156) · 2016-04

      Key finding
      Families in high-poverty public housing were randomly offered vouchers to move to lower-poverty areas. Children who moved before age 13 had higher college attendance and earnings: mid-twenties income $3,477 (31%) above the control mean of $11,270. For children who moved as teenagers, effects were, if anything, negative, possibly because of disruption.
      Methodology
      Randomised housing-mobility experiment linked to federal tax records.
      Methodological limitations
      Voluntary participants from public housing in five U.S. cities; effects of moving to a lower-poverty area, not of redevelopment itself. Full text checked (NBER Working Paper 21156, abstract and Section I): the $3,477 (31%) gain over the $11,270 control mean is for children under 13 at random assignment whose families took up the experimental voucher (treatment-on-the-treated).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Redevelopment and Right to Return (Community ties are a real loss that money and vouchers do not replace; Return is not always best for residents: mobility can open opportunity)
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedding-2016-gentrification-mobility

      Gentrification and Residential Mobility in Philadelphia

      Lei Ding, Jackelyn Hwang, Eileen Divringi (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Working Paper 15-36/R) · 2016-09

      Key finding
      Using consumer credit data for Philadelphia (2002–2014), vulnerable residents (low credit scores, no mortgage) in gentrifying neighbourhoods were generally no more likely to move than similar residents elsewhere, but when they did move they were more likely to go to lower-income neighbourhoods. Higher overall mobility was largely driven by more advantaged residents.
      Methodology
      Panel analysis of a large consumer credit database, comparing gentrifying and non-gentrifying neighbourhoods.
      Methodological limitations
      Gentrification rather than demolition-led redevelopment; credit records miss people without credit files; one city.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Redevelopment and Right to Return (Community ties are a real loss that money and vouchers do not replace; A blanket condition blocks beneficial projects)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedca-hcd-sb79

      SB 79 Transit-Oriented Development

      California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      SB 79, signed on 10 October 2025 (Government Code §§ 65912.155–65912.162), makes qualifying transit-oriented housing developments an allowed use on residential, mixed or commercial sites near specified transit stops in urban transit counties; local jurisdictions must process qualifying projects from 1 July 2026. Jurisdictions may adopt their own SB 79 ordinance or a TOD alternative plan, reviewed by HCD for compliance.
      Methodology
      State agency implementation page.
      Methodological limitations
      Does not state the height and density standards by tier; describes rules, not outcomes, which are not yet observable.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Residential Zoning Reform (Allowing more homes leads to more homes being built; Local vetoes impose costs on people who have no vote; Communities should decide how they grow) · Math × Debate: Sensitivity Analysis
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Full text checkedauckland-upzoning-2023

      The impact of upzoning on housing construction in Auckland

      Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy, Peter C. B. Phillips (Journal of Urban Economics, 2023) · 2023

      Key finding
      Auckland's Unitary Plan (operational 15 November 2016) upzoned about three-quarters of residential land. Comparing upzoned with non-upzoned areas, the authors estimate about 23 additional permits per statistical area by 2021 (≈11,044 citywide in 2021) and 34,614 additional permits cumulatively in 2016–2021, mostly attached dwellings.
      Methodology
      Difference-in-differences on building permits (2010–2021) across 479 statistical areas.
      Methodological limitations
      Permits, not completions or prices; control areas may be affected by spillovers; the cumulative estimate depends on the counterfactual (the paper's robustness checks give 23,544 to 31,808 additional permits under alternative treatment dates); findings are disputed by some critics. Checked against the published article (Journal of Urban Economics 136, 103555; Cowles Foundation reprint).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Residential Zoning Reform (Allowing more homes leads to more homes being built; Upzoning can raise land prices before it adds homes) · Math × Debate: Correlation vs. Causation · Math × Debate: Sensitivity Analysis
    1. Academic publicationVerification: Abstract checkedfreemark-2020-chicago-upzoning

      Upzoning Chicago: Impacts of a Zoning Reform on Property Values and Housing Construction

      Yonah Freemark (Urban Affairs Review 56(3)) · 2019-01-29

      Key finding
      Chicago upzonings near transit raised property values of affected parcels and prices of existing condominiums, but did not measurably increase new dwellings permitted over five years.
      Methodology
      Difference-in-differences on property sales and permits, exploiting upzonings not tied to specific development plans.
      Methodological limitations
      Short-run (five-year) window; one city and one type of reform. Checked against the abstract (Crossref).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Residential Zoning Reform (Allowing more homes leads to more homes being built; Upzoning can raise land prices before it adds homes) · Math × Debate: Correlation vs. Causation · Math × Debate: Sensitivity Analysis
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedpew-2024-minneapolis

      Minneapolis Land Use Reforms Offer a Blueprint for Housing Affordability

      Linlin Liang, Adam Staveski, Alex Horowitz (The Pew Charitable Trusts) · 2024-01-04

      Key finding
      From 2017 to 2022 Minneapolis's housing stock grew 12% and average rents 1%, while the rest of Minnesota added 4% to its housing stock and rents rose 14%; households grew 10% in Minneapolis and 7% elsewhere in the state. Nearly 21,000 units were permitted in 2017–2022: Pew estimates 87% were in buildings of 20+ units and 1% in buildings of two to four units. Pew concludes that duplex and triplex legalisation has so far had a modest impact, while corridor and transit upzoning and the elimination of parking minimums (citywide in 2021) made apartment construction cheaper and easier.
      Methodology
      Descriptive comparison of Minneapolis with the rest of Minnesota using HUD building-permit data, American Community Survey housing-unit estimates, Apartment List rent estimates and HUD homelessness counts, 2017 and 2022.
      Methodological limitations
      Not a causal design: no control for other differences between Minneapolis and the rest of the state; the period includes years before Minneapolis 2040 took effect (2020); attributing growth to particular reforms is Pew's interpretation. Pew is a policy organisation advocating zoning reform. Original article checked in full.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Residential Zoning Reform (Allowing more homes leads to more homes being built; More supply restrains rents; Supply alone does not guarantee affordability for low-income households) · Math × Debate: Correlation vs. Causation
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkeduefa-ucl-2026-player-lists

      UEFA Champions League league phase player lists: registration

      UEFA · 2026-09-03

      Key finding
      Clubs may register a maximum of 25 players on List A; at least eight places are reserved for locally trained players, of whom no more than four may be association-trained. Locally trained means registered for three entire seasons (or 36 months) between ages 15 and 21 with the club (club-trained) or with clubs in the same association. If a club has fewer than eight, its List A maximum is reduced.
      Methodology
      Official competition regulation summary from the governing body.
      Methodological limitations
      Describes squad registration rules for UEFA club competitions only; domestic leagues have their own rules.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Homegrown Football Players (Only a matchday rule makes youth development pay; Clubs regain local identity and counter talent hoarding; Clubs will game the rule and hoard teenagers) · Math × Debate: Game Theory
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkeduefa-2014-protection-young-players

      Protection of young players

      UEFA · 2014-01-02

      Key finding
      The homegrown rule was phased in from four (2006/07) to six (2007/08) to eight (2008/09) homegrown players in a 25-man squad. Clubs are not required to field homegrown players on the pitch or on the matchsheet. Stated aims: encourage local training of young players, increase openness and fairness, counter hoarding by the richest clubs and re-establish local identity.
      Methodology
      UEFA explanatory article.
      Methodological limitations
      Governing body's own account of aims; reports no evaluation of effects.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Homegrown Football Players (Only a matchday rule makes youth development pay; A binding rule solves a collective-action problem; Clubs regain local identity and counter talent hoarding; The evidence shows homegrown rules barely work; Clubs will game the rule and hoard teenagers)
    1. Research instituteVerification: Full text checkedec-2013-homegrown-study

      Study on the Assessment of UEFA's Home Grown Player Rule (final report)

      University of Liverpool and Edge Hill University, for the European Commission · 2013-04-30

      Key finding
      The rule's impact on competitive balance in the Champions League and Europa League group stages was “very modest”, with “very little evidence” of effects on the final stages. Its impact on youth training and development across the EU appeared “very limited”: the number of young players in first-team squads rose slightly, but the trend was more evident before the rule, and club policy appeared more influenced by other factors. The authors judged the aims legitimate but said less restrictive alternatives might achieve more, which would undermine proportionality.
      Methodology
      Commissioned evaluation (138 pages): statistical analysis of UEFA competition results and squad data, plus questionnaires and interviews with clubs and stakeholders, and legal analysis under EU free-movement law.
      Methodological limitations
      Early evaluation (rule phased in from 2006/07 to 2008/09); the authors say there was insufficient data to judge long-run effects on competitive balance. Checked against the full report (executive summary points 9–14 and chapters 6–7).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Homegrown Football Players (Only a matchday rule makes youth development pay; The evidence shows homegrown rules barely work; Clubs will game the rule and hoard teenagers) · Math × Debate: Game Theory
    1. Court recordVerification: Full text checkedcjeu-2023-royal-antwerp

      Press release No 205/23: Judgment in Case C-680/21 Royal Antwerp Football Club

      Court of Justice of the European Union · 2023-12-21

      Key finding
      UEFA's and the Belgian association's home-grown player rules come under EU law and could infringe both competition rules (by restricting clubs' ability to compete for talent regardless of where it was trained) and free movement of workers (indirect nationality discrimination). The Belgian court must decide; UEFA may justify the rules by showing they encourage recruitment and training and are proportionate.
      Methodology
      Preliminary ruling of the EU's highest court (Grand Chamber), summarised in the official press release.
      Methodological limitations
      Press release is unofficial and not binding; the final outcome depends on the national court.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Homegrown Football Players (It restricts free movement and fair competition for talent)
    1. LegislationVerification: Full text checkedfrcrmp-rule-53

      Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, Rule 53: Courtroom Photographing and Broadcasting Prohibited

      United States (via Legal Information Institute, Cornell Law School) · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Except as otherwise provided by statute or the rules, U.S. federal courts must not permit photographs in the courtroom during judicial proceedings or the broadcasting of judicial proceedings from the courtroom.
      Methodology
      Text of the federal procedural rule and committee notes.
      Methodological limitations
      Federal criminal courts only; U.S. state courts set their own rules.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Televising Court Trials (Cameras change how trial participants behave; There is little evidence that cameras harm trials)
    1. LegislationVerification: Full text checkeduk-crown-court-broadcasting-2020

      The Crown Court (Recording and Broadcasting) Order 2020 (SI 2020/637)

      Ministry of Justice (England and Wales) · 2020-06-19

      Key finding
      Permits recording and broadcasting of sentencing remarks in the Crown Court, but recording is only of the judge, by a person authorised by the Lord Chancellor, with the judge's written permission. Broadcasts must respect reporting restrictions, be fair and accurate in context, and must not be used for party politics, advertising, light entertainment or satire.
      Methodology
      Statutory instrument made under the Crime and Courts Act 2013.
      Methodological limitations
      Describes legal conditions; does not evaluate effects.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Televising Court Trials (Broadcast turns trials into entertainment and harms victims; Broadcast extends open justice to everyone; Harms can be managed with narrow rules)
    1. Court recordVerification: Full text checkedchandler-v-florida-1981

      Chandler v. Florida, 449 U.S. 560 (1981)

      Supreme Court of the United States (via Legal Information Institute) · 1981-01-26

      Key finding
      The Constitution does not bar states from permitting broadcast coverage of criminal trials. The Court noted that no one had presented empirical data sufficient to show broadcast coverage inherently harms the judicial process; a defendant must show actual prejudice in the particular case, more than juror awareness of broadcasters.
      Methodology
      Supreme Court opinion (Burger, C.J.).
      Methodological limitations
      Legal standard, not empirical evidence; the empirical observation dates from 1981.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Televising Court Trials (Cameras change how trial participants behave; There is little evidence that cameras harm trials)
    1. Government documentVerification: Full text checkedfjc-1994-media-pilot

      Electronic Media Coverage of Federal Civil Proceedings: An Evaluation of the Pilot Program in Six District Courts and Two Courts of Appeals

      Molly Treadway Johnson, Carol Krafka (Federal Judicial Center) · 1994

      Key finding
      During a federal pilot allowing cameras in civil proceedings (1 July 1991 – 30 June 1993), media applied to cover 257 cases and 82% of applications were approved. Judges and attorneys with experience of coverage generally reported small or no effects of camera presence on participants, courtroom decorum or the administration of justice, and judges' attitudes became more favourable with experience. Most evening news footage illustrated a reporter's narration and gave viewers little information about the legal process.
      Methodology
      Surveys of judges and attorneys, interviews with court staff and media, and review of state studies.
      Methodological limitations
      Civil cases only (no criminal trials, no jurors in most covered proceedings); self-reports by participants; early 1990s media environment without social media. Full report checked (Summary of Findings, p. 7).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Televising Court Trials (Cameras change how trial participants behave; There is little evidence that cameras harm trials)
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkedmdi-2022-depp-heard

      The broadcast of the Depp-Heard trial and its impact on domestic abuse narratives

      Virginia Méndez (Media Diversity Institute) · 2022-07-07

      Key finding
      Argues that televising the 2022 Depp v. Heard defamation trial turned a case about alleged domestic abuse into public entertainment, reinforced myths about abuse and the idea of a “perfect victim”, and may discourage survivors from coming forward; quotes the charity Refuge saying the verdict sent a chilling message to survivors.
      Methodology
      Signed opinion and analysis piece; cites news coverage but presents no original data.
      Methodological limitations
      Advocacy commentary on one high-profile civil case; does not measure effects on survivors' reporting.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Televising Court Trials (Broadcast turns trials into entertainment and harms victims; Selection of televised cases distorts perceptions of justice)
    1. Court recordVerification: Full text checkedradmacher-2010-uksc

      Radmacher (formerly Granatino) v Granatino [2010] UKSC 42: press summary

      Supreme Court of the United Kingdom · 2010-10-20

      Key finding
      In England and Wales, a court should give effect to a nuptial agreement freely entered into by each party with a full appreciation of its implications, unless in the circumstances it would not be fair to hold the parties to it. Courts should respect individual autonomy, but an agreement cannot prejudice the reasonable requirements of children of the family. The majority (8–1) upheld the agreement.
      Methodology
      Official press summary of a Supreme Court judgment.
      Methodological limitations
      Applies to England and Wales; agreements are weighed by courts, not automatically binding.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Prenuptial Agreements (Every marriage already has a property regime; mandating a choice makes it explicit; A compelled contract contradicts the basis for enforcing prenups)
    1. LegislationVerification: Full text checkedri-upaa-15-17-6

      Rhode Island General Laws § 15-17-6: Enforcement (Uniform Premarital Agreement Act)

      State of Rhode Island · date not recorded

      Key finding
      Under this state's version of the Uniform Premarital Agreement Act, a premarital agreement is unenforceable only if the challenging party proves, by clear and convincing evidence, that they did not sign voluntarily and that it was unconscionable when signed without fair disclosure, waiver or adequate knowledge; if an agreement would leave a spouse eligible for public assistance, a court may order support despite it.
      Methodology
      State statute text.
      Methodological limitations
      One U.S. state's version; other states differ in disclosure and unconscionability standards.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Prenuptial Agreements (A mandatory process can require disclosure and advice; Forced bargaining favours the stronger party)
    1. Official statisticsVerification: Full text checkedcdc-2023-marriage-divorce

      FastStats: Marriage and Divorce

      U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics · 2023

      Key finding
      Provisional 2023 data: 2,041,926 marriages (6.1 per 1,000 population) and 672,502 divorces (2.4 per 1,000 population) in 45 reporting states and D.C.
      Methodology
      National Vital Statistics System counts.
      Methodological limitations
      Crude rates per population, not the probability a given marriage ends in divorce; five states do not report divorces.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Prenuptial Agreements (Every couple faces the risk; planning protects both; For many couples the cost outweighs the benefit) · Math × Debate: Base Rate Fallacy · Math × Debate: Expected Value
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkednotaires-contrat-mariage

      Quand et comment faire établir un contrat de mariage ? (Le contrat de mariage)

      Office notarial (notaires.fr), France · date not recorded

      Key finding
      In France, a marriage contract must be drawn up by a notary before the civil wedding. Couples who marry without one are automatically under the community of acquisitions regime: income and property acquired during the marriage are shared and split equally on divorce, while property owned before marriage or received by gift or inheritance stays separate. Separation of property and other regimes can be chosen by contract.
      Methodology
      Explanatory document from a French notarial office.
      Methodological limitations
      Practitioner guidance, not the Civil Code text; France only.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Prenuptial Agreements (Every marriage already has a property regime; mandating a choice makes it explicit; Forced bargaining favours the stronger party)
    1. LegislationVerification: Full text checkedeu-directive-2024-825

      Directive (EU) 2024/825 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 28 February 2024 (empowering consumers for the green transition)

      European Parliament and Council of the European Union (Official Journal of the European Union, L series) · 2024-03-06

      Key finding
      Amends the Unfair Commercial Practices Directive (2005/29/EC) and the Consumer Rights Directive (2011/83/EU). Annex I additions ban in all circumstances: displaying a sustainability label not based on a certification scheme or established by public authorities (point 2a); generic environmental claims where the trader cannot demonstrate recognised excellent environmental performance (4a); environmental claims about a whole product or business that concern only one aspect (4b); and claims, based on offsetting greenhouse gas emissions, that a product has a neutral, reduced or positive climate impact (4c). Claims about future environmental performance require clear, verifiable commitments in a detailed implementation plan, regularly verified by an independent expert (new Article 6(2)(d)). Member States had to adopt national measures by 27 March 2026 and apply them from 27 September 2026 (Article 4).
      Methodology
      Primary legal text (EUR-Lex, English version).
      Methodological limitations
      States legal requirements only; says nothing about compliance or effects on corporate behaviour. Recital 12: companies may still advertise investments in environmental initiatives, including carbon credit projects, if the information is not misleading.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Environmental Movements and Corporate Partnerships (Only laws bind the laggards)
    1. OtherVerification: Full text checkededf-mcdonalds-partnership

      McDonald's saves billions cutting waste (EDF partnership case study)

      Environmental Defense Fund · date not recorded

      Key finding
      After public pressure in the late 1980s, EDF worked with McDonald's on its U.S. packaging and waste; polystyrene clamshells were replaced with paper, and the team found nearly 80% of waste came from behind the counter. Over the following decade the partners report more than 300 million pounds of packaging eliminated, 1 million tons of corrugated boxes recycled, restaurant waste cut by 30% and estimated savings of $6 million a year.
      Methodology
      Partnership case study published by the NGO involved.
      Methodological limitations
      Self-reported by a partner; no independent evaluation or counterfactual (what McDonald's would have done anyway).

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Environmental Movements and Corporate Partnerships (Partnerships deliver concrete changes now; Political reform is slow and reversible) · Math × Debate: Game Theory
    1. News reportingVerification: Full text checkedcarbonbrief-2023-verra-offsets

      Revealed: more than 90% of rainforest carbon offsets by biggest provider are worthless, analysis shows (Carbon Brief daily briefing)

      Carbon Brief, summarising The Guardian / Die Zeit / SourceMaterial (18 January 2023) · 2023-01-19

      Key finding
      A nine-month investigation, based on new analysis of scientific studies of Verra's rainforest schemes, concluded that more than 90% of its rainforest offset credits, among the most commonly used by companies such as Disney, Shell and Gucci, are likely “phantom credits” that do not represent genuine carbon reductions. Verra strongly disputed the conclusions. The voluntary offset market was valued at about $2 billion.
      Methodology
      Journalistic investigation drawing on academic studies of deforestation baselines, interviews and field reporting.
      Methodological limitations
      Secondary summary of a media investigation; methods were disputed by the certifier.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Environmental Movements and Corporate Partnerships (Voluntary corporate action is vulnerable to greenwashing)
    1. OtherVerification: Secondary report checkedeu-2024-825-green-claims

      The EU Directive on Empowering Consumers for the Green Transition, two years on (commentary on Directive (EU) 2024/825)

      Mayer Brown · 2026-10-27

      Key finding
      Commentary on implementation: nine EU markets lacked national transposing rules on the 27 September 2026 application date. (What the directive itself requires is cited from the official text, eu-directive-2024-825.)
      Methodology
      Law firm analysis of the directive and member-state transposition.
      Methodological limitations
      Secondary legal commentary by a law firm; used only for the state of national transposition, not for the content of the law.

      Last checked: 2026-10-31

    Where it appears: Environmental Movements and Corporate Partnerships (Only laws bind the laggards)